EskiSignal

Bond yield and yield curve coverage for Treasury moves, curve steepening/flattening, real rates, credit context, and market implications.

The Independence Premium: When Bond Markets Price Politics, Not Inflation

The Independence Premium: When Bond Markets Price Politics, Not Inflation

September 10, 2026

The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.85% this week, its highest level since October 2023. The conventional explanation is inflation: oil...

Bid-to-Cover and Indirect Bidders: How to Read a Treasury Auction

Bid-to-Cover and Indirect Bidders: How to Read a Treasury Auction

August 11, 2026

Every Treasury auction produces three numbers that tell you whether the world still wants to lend to the United States...

Term Premium: Why Long Yields Can Rise While the Fed Sits Still

Term Premium: Why Long Yields Can Rise While the Fed Sits Still

August 10, 2026

The Fed sets the overnight rate. It does not set the ten-year yield. In 2026 that distinction stopped being academic...

Why Are Treasury Yields Climbing Again? Tariffs, Inflation Expectations, and the Fed’s Dilemma

Why Are Treasury Yields Climbing Again? Tariffs, Inflation Expectations, and the Fed’s Dilemma

July 29, 2026

New Section 232 and Section 301 tariff actions are reviving inflation fears just as the Fed meets — how rising yields ripple into stocks, mortgages, and crypto.

Yield Curve Inversion Explained: What 2s10s Really Signals

Yield Curve Inversion Explained: What 2s10s Really Signals

Caglar A.
June 17, 2026

A yield curve inversion is when short-term Treasury yields rise above long-term ones. Here is what the 2s10s spread signals - and what it does not.