EskiSignal

October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 11, 2026

The Federal Open Market Committee meets on October 27 and 28, four weeks after raising interest rates for the first...

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

October 10, 2026

The entire argument for raising rates into an energy shock rests on one claim: that without action, inflation expectations will...

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

October 10, 2026

For most of 2026 the dollar was a one-way trade in the other direction, falling on expectations of Federal Reserve...

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

October 9, 2026

The September Consumer Price Index arrives on October 14, two weeks before a Federal Reserve meeting with no updated projections...

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

October 9, 2026

Third quarter earnings begin on October 13, when JPMorgan reports before the open and, as usual, frames how the rest...

What It Means When the Fed Hikes Into a Weakening Job Market

What It Means When the Fed Hikes Into a Weakening Job Market

October 8, 2026

Central banks normally raise rates because the economy is running hot. In September the Federal Reserve raised rates while payroll...

September Jobs Report: 29,000 Payrolls and a 60,000 Revision

September Jobs Report: 29,000 Payrolls and a 60,000 Revision

October 8, 2026

The September employment report landed on October 2 with a number small enough to change the policy conversation. Payrolls rose...

Bitcoin Has Never Traded Through a Rate Hike With ETFs

Bitcoin Has Never Traded Through a Rate Hike With ETFs

September 24, 2026

Bitcoin rose almost 25% in August on record spot ETF inflows of roughly $3.5 billion, then opened September with a...

The EM Trade Meets $100 Oil and a Hiking Fed

The EM Trade Meets $100 Oil and a Hiking Fed

September 23, 2026

Emerging markets outperformed the S&P 500 through the first half of 2026, and the explanation offered at the time was...

Tokenized Treasuries Crossed $12 Billion: What USYC and BUIDL Actually Hold

Tokenized Treasuries Crossed $12 Billion: What USYC and BUIDL Actually Hold

September 22, 2026

The GENIUS Act contains a provision that reads like a technical footnote and has turned out to be the most...

Next