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October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 11, 2026

The Federal Open Market Committee meets on October 27 and 28, four weeks after raising interest rates for the first…

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

October 10, 2026

The entire argument for raising rates into an energy shock rests on one claim: that without action, inflation expectations will…

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

October 10, 2026

For most of 2026 the dollar was a one-way trade in the other direction, falling on expectations of Federal Reserve…

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

October 9, 2026

The September Consumer Price Index arrives on October 14, two weeks before a Federal Reserve meeting with no updated projections…

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

October 9, 2026

Third quarter earnings begin on October 13, when JPMorgan reports before the open and, as usual, frames how the rest…

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October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 2026 FOMC Preview: A Decision With No Dot Plot

October 11, 2026

The Federal Open Market Committee meets on October 27 and 28, four weeks after raising interest rates for the first…

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

Breakeven Inflation: What the Bond Market Thinks the Energy Shock Will Do

October 10, 2026

The entire argument for raising rates into an energy shock rests on one claim: that without action, inflation expectations will…

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

The Dollar’s Turn: DXY Back Above 100 on a Hawkish Fed

October 10, 2026

For most of 2026 the dollar was a one-way trade in the other direction, falling on expectations of Federal Reserve…

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

September 2026 CPI Preview: What to Watch on October 14

October 9, 2026

The September Consumer Price Index arrives on October 14, two weeks before a Federal Reserve meeting with no updated projections…

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

Q3 2026 Earnings Season: Banks Open the Books on October 13

October 9, 2026

Third quarter earnings begin on October 13, when JPMorgan reports before the open and, as usual, frames how the rest…