EskiSignal
GDP & PMI
Advance, Second, Third: Why the GDP Number Keeps Changing
August 25, 2026
The GDP figure that leads the news is an estimate built from incomplete data, and it will be revised at...
Bond Yields & Yield Curve
Term Premium: Why Long Yields Can Rise While the Fed Sits Still
August 10, 2026
The Fed sets the overnight rate. It does not set the ten-year yield. In 2026 that distinction stopped being academic...
Jobs & Labor
The Challenger Job Cuts Report: The Layoff Data That Lands Before Payrolls
August 8, 2026
One business day before the monthly jobs report, a Chicago outplacement firm publishes a tally of announced layoffs that moves...
